Dates: August 3, 2023 to August 6, 2023
Location: Greensboro, North Carolina
Course: Sedgefield Country Club
Course Par: 70
Course Length: 7131
Prize Purse: $7600000
Sedgefield Country Club is the venue and was the scene of an incredible nine under par final round
from Tom Kim last year as he secured his second tour win by five shots. Unfortunately, he does not
return to defend his title, having picked up an ankle problem during his heroic effort at The Open a
couple of weeks ago.
A relatively short par 70 at 7131 yards, it’s unsurprising that previous winners have tended to be
more strategic types rather than bombers. The roll of honours includes the likes of Kisner, Poston,
and Snedeker, so we’re really looking for players who can keep it in play off the tee, hit the small
greens and hole enough putts to get somewhere near to a likely winning score around minus 20.
The best value this week comes in the shape of Adam Schenk (2.5pts each way, 80/1, 8 places), who
still seems to be undervalued in the market despite a season that’s seen a string of quality
performances. He’s arguably been a little unfortunate not to get over the line at least once, and
ranking in the top 10 for total strokes gained, with particularly strong putting and approach stats,
there’s a lot to like about his chances. Missing the cut in The Open isn’t too big a concern and two
top 10s immediately prior to that indicate the form he brings to the party. The price makes him very
easy to include in our staking plan.
Another guy with very similar chances to Schenk is Eric Cole (2pts each way, 60/1, 8 places). Also in
the top 10 for strokes gained, other than off the tee, all aspects of his game have been in great
shape recently. With Sedgefield not being a particularly stern examination off the tee, this has to be
a great opportunity for him to build on numerous encouraging recent performances, including five
cuts made on the bounce.
It’s tight at the front end of the market with several players who all look to have similar chances.
Russell Henley makes a good bit of appeal given his track record in this event, but at a bigger price
we’ll get involved with Sam Burns (3pts each way, 25/1, 8 places). Burns’ form has been a little up
and down, but he is still close to the top of this field in total strokes gained and his putting remains
as good as it’s always been. More than most around him in the market, he’s the one that’s proven
he can get over the line when in contention, so we’re happy to chance him over others like Henley
who may be a more reliable proposition but perhaps a bit likely to get the W.
Our next selection is for a small interest in a guy whose form has a slightly regressive look to it, but
ought to be well suited to the demands of Sedgefield in the shape of Chez Reavie (1pt each way,
125/1, 8 places). Having finished fourth in the Travelers, he’s subsequently gone on to finish top 30,
top 40, top 60, with a missed cut last week his most recent effort. But with distance not at a
premium this week and sharp approach and putting stats in recent times, he could just bounce back
with a big display and the price is big enough to get involved.
For our final pick it was a toss up between Taylor Moore, Ben Griffin and Billy Horschel (1.5pts each
way, 55/1, 8 places), and the greater pedigree of Billy Ho just swings things in his favour. Having
been woefully out of form for a period, it was encouraging to see signs of life with a top 15 in the 3M
Open; we know that his best game is good enough to take out events of this nature and even a
marginal improvement on last week’s display could put him in firm contention here.
|Player||Points||Type||UK Odds||Places||Outright US Odds|
|Adam Schenk||2.5||Each Way||80/1||8||+8000|
|Eric Cole||2||Each Way||60/1||8||+6600|
|Sam Burns||3||Each Way||25/1||8||+2800|
|Chez Reavie||1||Each Way||125/1||8||+12500|
|Billy Horschel||1.5||Each Way||55/1||8||+6600|
Honourable mentions to: